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Gold Surges Past £3,700 as Silver Outpaces With Double-Digit Weekly Gain

Gold closed at £3,737/oz (+4.7%) while silver soared 10.7% to £63.88/oz, compressing the gold/silver ratio to 58.5.

10 May 2026
Monthly Market Report

Flagship research

Institutional-grade analysis with specific price targets, updated monthly. No fluff, no upsells — just the research serious investors need.

Gold Outlook April 2026 review
→ May forecast

Gold monthly: April 2026

Gold barely moved in April — a -1.9% month that felt like a victory after March's carnage. The GSHPS Buy signal played out, dip-buyers returned, and gold hit $4,831 before fading as Iran talks stalled and the Fed held for a third time. Here's what happened and what May holds.

May 2026 forecast
$4,500-$5,000

The Iran deal is the only variable that matters. If the Strait reopens, oil falls, inflation cools, and June cut odds surge — gold could break $5,000. If talks collapse, gold is stuck at $4,400–4,700. GSHPS has recovered to ~40: neutral, not yet a trigger.

April 2026 range
$4,424-$4,831
  • Gold fell just 1.9% in April — from $4,679 to ~$4,590 — a sharp deceleration after March's 12.2% crash
  • The GSHPS Buy signal fired correctly: gold rallied 3.4% from March's close to a mid-April high of $4,831
  • The Fed held at 3.50–3.75% for a third consecutive meeting; only 36% odds of a June cut priced in
Read the full report Philip Wilkinson
Silver Monthly April 2026 review
→ May forecast

Silver monthly: April 2026

Silver barely moved in April — down 1.7% and stuck in a $73–76 range — its most stable month of 2026. The World Silver Survey confirmed a fifth consecutive structural deficit widening to 46.3 million ounces. Physical tightness is real. The question is whether it matters before the Iran deal changes everything.

May 2026 forecast
$72-$88

The Iran deal remains the pivot. An open Strait means cheaper oil, slower thrifting, and a silver recovery toward $88. A closed Strait means continued industrial margin pressure and a test of $70 support. The widening deficit is the structural floor; the ceasefire is the tactical ceiling.

April 2026 range
$69.75-$79
  • Silver fell 1.7% in April — from $75.14 to ~$73.84 — its flattest month since the war began in February
  • The World Silver Survey 2026 confirmed a fifth consecutive annual supply deficit, forecast to widen to 46.3 million ounces in 2026
  • Gold-silver ratio stabilised at ~62:1, recovering from the March peak of 64:1 — no further deterioration
Read the full report Alex Buttle

Where to buy

Full rankings
# Dealer Score Rating
1
BullionByPost BullionByPost
9.8
4.8
Visit
2
The Royal Mint The Royal Mint
9.5
4.7
Visit
3
Atkinsons Bullion Atkinsons Bullion
9.3
4.9
Visit
4
Chards Chards
9.1
4.6
Visit
5
Hatton Garden Metals Hatton Garden Metals
8.9
4.5
Visit
6
Gold.co.uk Gold.co.uk
8.7
4.4
Visit
7
BullionVault BullionVault
8.5
4.3
Visit
8
Baird & Co Baird & Co
8.3
4.2
Visit
9
Sharps Pixley Sharps Pixley
8.1
4.1
Visit
10
Physical Gold Physical Gold
7.9
4.0
Visit
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